H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Origin ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually enhanced decently considering that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less specific. Tammy was at first expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system assistance is now recommending that the storm might drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a big and very effective typhoon that triggered huge destruction and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, exceeding the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood protection system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, in addition to big areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane cautions have actually now been released for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates hurricane conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the most recent warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy must spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were taking place over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a hurricane that might bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually set off cyclone warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a risk to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outside approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is only the third hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to cyclone professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane specialists formerly alerted typhoons might form in unusual locations later on in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe threats and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy